CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs PARIVISION (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606a3adfd4436dba904c22416c95c8e84a38887884c534a94e65f21b5adbb802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccb2…8586backed PARIVISION | 66c | 55,757$36,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,742.08 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Vitality | 34c | 40,911$13,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,001.48 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Vitality | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.96 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed Vitality | 35c | 8,688$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,635.74 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Vitality | 35c | 5,719$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.35 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 5,151$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.53 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed PARIVISION | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1765…17febacked PARIVISION | 60c | 4,575$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Vitality | 36c | 3,791$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.16 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Vitality | 36c | 1,797$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.11 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,655$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.14 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,486$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.07 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Vitality | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Vitality | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.53 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…6299backed Vitality | 36c | 1,328$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,136$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 56c | 1,100$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 64c | 1,090$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.55 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…1aa6backed Vitality | 76c | 1,011$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality | 37c | 927.3$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.48 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked PARIVISION | 24c | 920.79$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 868.64$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.06 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Vitality | 72c | 859.25$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.59 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Vitality | 47c | 849.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.29 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…3499backed Vitality | 74c | 767.51$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.55 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed PARIVISION | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Vitality | 36c | 613.65$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.64 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 34c | 599.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.98 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Vitality | 51c | 583.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.98 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Vitality | 36c | 560$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.4 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Vitality | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed Vitality | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked PARIVISION | 54c | 543.89$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…d432backed Vitality | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…3377backed Vitality | 36c | 494.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.44 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Vitality | 34c | 439.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.39 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 437.95$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Vitality | 34c | 416.71$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.03 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Vitality | 35c | 413.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.63 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked PARIVISION | 62c | 393.63$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.05 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed PARIVISION | 66c | 384.39$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.17 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked PARIVISION | 66c | 380.3$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 380.18$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed PARIVISION | 66c | 371.83$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.87 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 370.27$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…a854backed PARIVISION | 66c | 319.7$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION | 63c | 295.26$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed PARIVISION | 65c | 290.65$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…8465backed Vitality | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 277.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…9808backed Vitality | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed Vitality | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Vitality | 36c | 229.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…a0b7backed Vitality | 35c | 214.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 214.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Vitality | 43c | 200.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Vitality | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Vitality | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 196.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Vitality | 47c | 191.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18f…41eabacked Vitality | 27c | 187.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed PARIVISION | 65c | 187.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 287 | 40.8%117 W · 170 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed PARIVISION | 54c | 185.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Vitality | 35c | 180.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 169.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Vitality | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Vitality | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…1611backed PARIVISION | 71c | 156.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed PARIVISION | 66c | 151.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked PARIVISION | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed PARIVISION | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed PARIVISION | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Vitality | 58c | 145.11$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed Vitality | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Vitality | 76c | 132.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed PARIVISION | 66c | 131.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Vitality | 54c | 123.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION | 36c | 120.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Vitality | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Vitality | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed PARIVISION | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b24fbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 105.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Vitality | 50c | 100.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 100.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Vitality | 50c | 100.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed PARIVISION | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Vitality | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Vitality | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Vitality | 72c | 98.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed PARIVISION | 65c | 96.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…a17fbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 90.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Vitality | 50c | 85.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Vitality | 34c | 82.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed PARIVISION | 53c | 80.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked PARIVISION | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 461 | 42.7%197 W · 264 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs PARIVISION (+2.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.