TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99e4…e4c4backed Over47c12,318$5,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,779.6422142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under49c6,795$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.793,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under50c6,349$3,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.234,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under57c4,285$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.142,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over52c3,240$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.772,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c2,138$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.063,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over40c2,083$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.651,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…a877backed Over66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e9a…e41bbacked Over67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under34c1,376$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.0513952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Under75c1,331$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.8210339.8%41 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32fd…625fbacked Under48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over25c1,238$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.0581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over55c1,117$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Under45c884.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.297061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc622…bbedbacked Over72c672.81$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Over65c606$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7790%0 W · 9 L-4.9wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Under34c601.74$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.154837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under57c531.46$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.411,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2106…2c0bbacked Over66c470.86$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.963145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89c8…bb9ebacked Under34c466.46$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.841942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Under43c434$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.3813242.4%56 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over25c400$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over56c359.57$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.968944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37cc…f862backed Over56c354.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004963.3%31 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Under41c339.62$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7538051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8380…375ebacked Over63c332.39$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.576851.5%35 W · 33 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under74c329$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9378963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde1…925dbacked Under42c327.38$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Under38c324.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.817254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Over66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19822554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19536245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over51c298.78$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5845162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f63…4fe9backed Under34c294.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d3f…8e27backed Over52c235$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.35922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd7…9ec4backed Under31c215.25$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.525339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Over34c210.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e4…2a20backed Under34c210$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd77f…05a4backed Over66c210$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.63767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under33c168.51$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.925337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Under66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5114151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over68c146.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f56…d632backed Under73c143.44$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.011656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over44c117.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2619030.5%58 W · 132 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over38c112.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.869863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a0d…6d2ebacked Over28c108.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302524%6 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5970…b00bbacked Over67c106.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Under32c102.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0324249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under80c98.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7582146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Over68c95.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6528556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under41c95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.61,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over55c92.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5119351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Under38c79.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.876650%33 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Under38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9517659.7%105 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0762…30e7backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018042.2%76 W · 104 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under32c73.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.11,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22d…7336backed Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over35c73.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6545956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Over28c72.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6484037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ee…5c4abacked Under35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.439142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Under73c69.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.939851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.511341.6%47 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked Under49c60.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.246642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.23644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287e…c0acbacked Under75c58.53$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed Under34c58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3813445.5%61 W · 73 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over66c51.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.077258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0232561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c49.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.833,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x785d…c75dbacked Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under57c42.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.076648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under46c41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.091,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over62c39.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.911,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f51…1a83backed Under67c32.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.831855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over34c32.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.194030%12 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over67c31.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113158.8%77 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43bc…ec11backed Over65c30.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Under37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.910956.9%62 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b0…df5abacked Over66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167d…862abacked Under47c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165170.6%36 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over41c28.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…f66ebacked Over41c26.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.846732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7af3…caf2backed Under52c26.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8471…e4f0backed Over66c25.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd79b…3661backed Over63c23.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed Under73c22.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.964643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.424350.6%123 W · 120 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over61c19.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.129350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf523…ec90backed Over67c19.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd723…00a4backed Over71c16.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ba…29adbacked Under74c14.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.