TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION35c19,443$6,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,747.9783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION35c15,792$5,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,527.224846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Vitality65c11,500$7,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,02535153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Vitality65c10,055$6,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.946555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Vitality65c8,622$5,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.8619455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Vitality65c6,436$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.6535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9828538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Vitality61c3,372$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.3215249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked PARIVISION34c3,207$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.2227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION39c3,100$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed PARIVISION35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05012752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc690…bd15backed Vitality66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed PARIVISION33c1,955$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.1324935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Vitality64c1,668$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.91,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION35c1,580$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.361,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed PARIVISION36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54013545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed PARIVISION35c1,436$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Vitality65c1,090$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.58846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Vitality67c1,002$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.187254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ad…d8e2backed Vitality66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Vitality66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality65c964.08$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.335,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Vitality66c900$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30636245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed PARIVISION34c880.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Vitality66c856.77$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.326155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Vitality66c812.11$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.662259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked PARIVISION26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20816846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff9…365bbacked Vitality65c759.99$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2661662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Vitality66c758.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.395565.5%36 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Vitality67c747.27$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.665662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Vitality65c666$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.114853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality65c659.55$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8461754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x766c…bb56backed Vitality65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.387245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed PARIVISION37c602.05$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2248644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked PARIVISION35c600$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Vitality63c581.86$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2918752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION25c543.12$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x552b…604bbacked PARIVISION37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Vitality66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION36c490$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.45,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed PARIVISION12c466.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5624233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Vitality65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5427950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality66c452.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3523557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Vitality67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7627452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Vitality65c440.85$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2911638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed Vitality66c439.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.69162.6%57 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Vitality66c431.09$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.572277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+37.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked PARIVISION35c421.54$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5419030.5%58 W · 132 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Vitality79c395$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.940655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked Vitality66c380.38$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3331759.9%190 W · 127 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked PARIVISION34c378$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.521,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION34c362.62$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2923932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99a3…9fffbacked PARIVISION32c339.47$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Vitality74c310.19$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1924055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Vitality65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6959049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed PARIVISION35c286.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed PARIVISION35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028541.1%117 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed PARIVISION35c277.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3524649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Vitality65c250.3$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.37061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x173d…8091backed Vitality65c249.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.494942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION33c229.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.751,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Vitality65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7023234.9%81 W · 151 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Vitality63c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7525941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed Vitality66c152$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6813857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4566…8063backed Vitality66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515639.3%22 W · 34 L-8.7wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed Vitality67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2514863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed PARIVISION36c134.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.143537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Vitality66c133.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.914555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed PARIVISION36c130$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.827735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION35c126.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4447146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed PARIVISION35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Vitality65c114$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.974054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Vitality66c113.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7311353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x028d…33efbacked Vitality66c100.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed PARIVISION33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Vitality65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3517945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked PARIVISION35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3549849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Vitality66c98.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.489151.6%47 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cd…3499backed Vitality67c97.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.111157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed PARIVISION35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018750.3%94 W · 93 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x120e…990abacked Vitality65c85.54$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9410158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf2…f582backed Vitality65c81.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.541450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74be…d9dbbacked Vitality66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+35.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Vitality66c74.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2413252.3%69 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dc…2f06backed Vitality67c74.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.453161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked PARIVISION34c61.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.962524%6 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION31c59.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.561,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8766…0ef8backed Vitality65c55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2512152.9%64 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Vitality66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.036650%33 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Vitality66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.634742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x167d…862abacked Vitality65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145170.6%36 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Vitality64c38.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.74942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Vitality66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.883650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eca…2872backed Vitality66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Vitality67c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.211,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed Vitality66c34.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.722263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Vitality63c33.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.264100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…36f3backed Vitality64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.254158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed Vitality65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.519554.4%106 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Vitality66c19.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.841963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.