CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5857afc9dbea77d8f2ba60f169b1a0e80df2b9fecbe0da4de5fb68b2b50e7401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Over | 51c | 6,256$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.89 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 51c | 5,052$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.86 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 4,049$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.85 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Over | 49c | 3,286$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.91 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Under | 59c | 2,840$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.36 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Over | 50c | 2,493$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.8 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 2,409$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.29 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 49c | 2,267$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 49c | 2,102$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.04 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1765…17febacked Over | 49c | 1,794$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Over | 49c | 1,309$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.71 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 49c | 1,040$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.14 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 1,011$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 50c | 1,010$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 41c | 933.34$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.54 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 656.69$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.48 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 66c | 630$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over | 76c | 623.66$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 51c | 492.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 63c | 352.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…d808backed Under | 37c | 351.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 47c | 319.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 276.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 253.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 249.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 54c | 209.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Over | 50c | 201.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 55c | 182.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 49c | 167.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed Over | 63c | 143.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Under | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 69c | 106.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Under | 25c | 105.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 64c | 99.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked Over | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…4d53backed Over | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…0e63backed Under | 24c | 63.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 61.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Over | 52c | 57.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…2f6ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 39c | 56.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785d…c75dbacked Under | 20c | 51.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 23c | 51.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…6c31backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d56…21b8backed Over | 51c | 46.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 45.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147e…0a4bbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 51c | 39.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 48c | 36.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…74e4backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 42c | 33.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 52c | 31.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…ade8backed Over | 64c | 31.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Under | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 62c | 28.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0058…44c9backed Over | 50c | 25.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed Over | 64c | 23.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a36…74b8backed Over | 49c | 22.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 56c | 20.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…60a7backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…e53dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…54fcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.