CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe941fd8b662d504812e317e1a6c7491651f6911125ccae784a94f65fa2d1e0d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof MOUZ, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $582,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $637,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 44,073$28,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,405.78 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ | 53c | 28,430$15,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,067.89 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 27,044$12,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,333.31 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…62e6backed MOUZ | 55c | 18,938$10,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,496.21 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…a907backed MOUZ | 57c | 18,681$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,650 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 16,811$8,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,425.88 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 15,042$6,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,566.24 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 12,744$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,162.26 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 9,006$6,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.63 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 8,877$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,266.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed MOUZ | 51c | 8,760$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,448.92 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 8,614$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.33 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ | 71c | 8,420$5,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.62 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked MOUZ | 59c | 8,124$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.9 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.99 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 7,970$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.75 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 7,160$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,426.59 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 51c | 6,812$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.15 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed MOUZ | 57c | 6,683$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked MOUZ | 52c | 6,483$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.81 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 57c | 6,324$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.27 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 49c | 5,251$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.24 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked MOUZ | 45c | 5,099$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.1 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed MOUZ | 48c | 4,900$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.91 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,640$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.36 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 4,600$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.21 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 4,547$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.97 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed MOUZ | 56c | 3,937$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.04 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,673$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed MOUZ | 57c | 3,624$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.33 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,603$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.05 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,553$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.5 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,456$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.25 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 3,250$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1765…17febacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,971$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 67c | 2,963$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.68 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,861$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.34 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked MOUZ | 47c | 2,851$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f93bbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,778$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 43c | 2,580$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.83 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,536$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.31 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,426$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.03 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,330$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,290$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked MOUZ | 56c | 2,238$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.17 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,229$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,157$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.66 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,142$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.23 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked MOUZ | 11c | 2,117$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,945$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.77 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,944$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.78 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,925$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.87 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…45babacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,889$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed MOUZ | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,777$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.66 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,698$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.67 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,583$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.25 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,550$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.78 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,544$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…ce8cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,499$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,418$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 71c | 1,407$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed MOUZ | 73c | 1,400$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.22 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,319$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.93 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,183$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.6 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,131$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.11 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.25 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,107$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.35 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,099$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,096$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,066$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.08 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked MOUZ | 38c | 1,061$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.36 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,040$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.65 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,027$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.18 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,001$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.21 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 999.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.98 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 865.26$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.35 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 850$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…e875backed MOUZ | 53c | 765.33$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.62 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 748.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.62 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 740$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 724.78$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.49 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed MOUZ | 38c | 697.12$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.59 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 651.54$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.13 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 648.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.23 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 615.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.93 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 603.05$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 602.2$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.32 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked MOUZ | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 599.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.