TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof TheMongolz, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d99…5591backed TheMongolz46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,999.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ54c49,383$26,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,717.8121048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked TheMongolz72c28,324$20,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,374.9222468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed TheMongolz47c18,991$8,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,98312649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ52c14,200$7,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,783.2983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ59c12,738$7,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,258.432,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MOUZ47c12,572$5,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,608.343,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ52c10,998$5,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,305.881,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ57c8,760$5,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,728.294,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz39c7,071$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.721,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ54c7,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.9935153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ50c6,328$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.433,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed MOUZ39c5,760$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.6938868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked TheMongolz29c5,037$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.8759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked TheMongolz36c5,000$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.866848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked TheMongolz70c4,510$3,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.2215050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ51c4,371$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.383,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz43c3,970$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1765…17febacked TheMongolz26c3,815$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ52c3,595$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.052,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ35c3,100$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.51,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ31c3,043$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.841,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed TheMongolz46c2,764$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.0321055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz43c2,266$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.8547738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed TheMongolz45c2,222$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.86829.4%20 W · 48 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed TheMongolz47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed MOUZ53c1,698$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.1224944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz2c1,443$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.857,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…f869backed MOUZ63c1,371$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed TheMongolz20c1,363$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed MOUZ76c1,339$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0215970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed TheMongolz46c1,310$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.489832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed TheMongolz48c1,300$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7212742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed MOUZ54c1,283$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.179340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4698…22dabacked MOUZ57c1,184$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.195754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked TheMongolz45c1,117$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.054346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked TheMongolz24c1,113$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.726048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ab6…ee04backed MOUZ56c1,065$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.12955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz50c1,043$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9425555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked TheMongolz46c1,041$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.1115732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed MOUZ67c1,023$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.5733043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed TheMongolz46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46012446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed TheMongolz29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed TheMongolz2c999.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed MOUZ53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.992458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d9…6e70backed MOUZ57c994.07$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.452356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbc2…4bc8backed MOUZ56c992.47$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.855658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0114…22a6backed MOUZ57c971.19$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.612951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed TheMongolz61c934.26$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.927950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed MOUZ55c912.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.7310947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed TheMongolz45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed TheMongolz48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked TheMongolz45c800$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.4513540.7%55 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed TheMongolz46c770$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.85347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b9…e29fbacked TheMongolz46c766.92$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.63240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed MOUZ57c687.67$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5811638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed MOUZ40c669.53$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.6311252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a16…194ebacked TheMongolz30c667.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz44c616.19$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.641,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed TheMongolz7c609.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed TheMongolz33c600.79$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8510753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked MOUZ33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40252834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz38c599.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22531444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2b…3377backed TheMongolz53c567.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004165.9%27 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed TheMongolz47c544$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6817857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked TheMongolz55c520$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28615063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed TheMongolz20c504.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed TheMongolz53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed TheMongolz25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed MOUZ57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21510244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9946345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed TheMongolz60c497.5$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.410354.4%56 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed TheMongolz51c490.26$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8641850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed TheMongolz44c486$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0814151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ57c472.04$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.295,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked MOUZ52c471.52$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7310345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked TheMongolz46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed TheMongolz45c446.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfd…bab7backed TheMongolz48c427.9$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.391080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz48c424.62$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.414,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7b…1db7backed TheMongolz48c419.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed MOUZ67c417.69$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8869863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed MOUZ55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18022554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22845455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked MOUZ54c383.13$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.229146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked TheMongolz10c368.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.076642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed MOUZ70c364.28$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.823243.8%14 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x386b…6d36backed TheMongolz9c360.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.06911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-73.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked TheMongolz22c353.25$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6569624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c5…d432backed TheMongolz41c344.9$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed MOUZ30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3331654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed TheMongolz47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked MOUZ63c310.31$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3745956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked TheMongolz37c307.95$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0931933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed TheMongolz47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14153850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed TheMongolz45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13542651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed TheMongolz22c288.83$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.551,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed TheMongolz36c278.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015132.5%49 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.