CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51104c45ea8c4be5c7878b5a12714d037e49c94ee521d8c7869d8865a74a0d3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 49c | 18,238$9,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,210.18 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Over | 51c | 16,021$8,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,162.04 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Over | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 50c | 11,995$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,957.55 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 35c | 10,811$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.32 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 33c | 10,040$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.69 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 9,223$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.99 | 352 | 54%190 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 32c | 6,424$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.68 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a3…9fffbacked Under | 50c | 4,138$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed Under | 50c | 3,055$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.7 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Over | 30c | 3,000$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.57 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 48c | 2,247$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.57 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 49c | 1,904$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 36c | 1,423$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.61 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 51c | 1,140$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.4 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…8506backed Over | 2c | 1,045$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 49c | 1,011$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.3 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Under | 50c | 668.78$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.39 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 29c | 582.67$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 51c | 580.39$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.39 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 51c | 510$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…604bbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 363$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…1aa6backed Over | 36c | 327.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Over | 27c | 296.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Over | 37c | 267.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 63c | 240.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 51c | 229.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…26d9backed Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Under | 70c | 170.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked Under | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 35c | 155.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Under | 61c | 155.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…cbf0backed Under | 70c | 148.69$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed Over | 37c | 135.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Over | 39c | 128.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Over | 51c | 123.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Over | 39c | 121.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 34c | 91.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 29c | 78.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…36f3backed Over | 51c | 74.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 59c | 70.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b24fbacked Under | 70c | 68.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 68c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1f2bbacked Under | 51c | 61.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Over | 37c | 53.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…8ff4backed Over | 38c | 52.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Under | 69c | 51.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 52c | 50.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 142 | 62%88 W · 54 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…e379backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Over | 33c | 37.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 31c | 36.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…8d8abacked Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…cbc7backed Over | 38c | 35.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…90bebacked Under | 50c | 28.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…d03ebacked Over | 49c | 28.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 49c | 27.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…cc92backed Over | 49c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.