CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x286e8bac53645028a54356b474d1f9e769366f76451f3d15c8ee036b3bbc4019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,545$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.57 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed TheMongolz | 66c | 1,059$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.96 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked TheMongolz | 65c | 1,048$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.59 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 42c | 625.34$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.99 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed MOUZ | 40c | 501.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.05 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked TheMongolz | 50c | 472.17$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.09 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed TheMongolz | 60c | 459.05$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed TheMongolz | 57c | 389.47$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed MOUZ | 38c | 236.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 149.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 138.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed TheMongolz | 59c | 125.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 123.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed TheMongolz | 60c | 118$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked TheMongolz | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed MOUZ | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed MOUZ | 50c | 77.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744d…7a34backed TheMongolz | 66c | 71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed MOUZ | 23c | 64.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…b408backed TheMongolz | 77c | 64.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed MOUZ | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…e379backed TheMongolz | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…20edbacked TheMongolz | 65c | 30.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed TheMongolz | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed TheMongolz | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6f…2cf0backed TheMongolz | 74c | 25.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed TheMongolz | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed TheMongolz | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.