NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0a50014015673b158a9e538bcaf51a127428ff3e90899648d9ec67b1d3ca630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Nuggets, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,319,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,419,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,319,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,908 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 36c | 330,211$118,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,875.93 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Knicks | 63c | 250,000$157,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,499.86 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Nuggets | 37c | 200,000$74,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,000 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Knicks | 64c | 156,869$99,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,869.66 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets | 0c | 144,614$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Knicks | 64c | 135,679$86,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,844.53 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Knicks | 65c | 86,424$56,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,096.25 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Nuggets | 37c | 78,000$28,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,860 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Knicks | 50c | 59,661$29,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,674.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks | 63c | 54,199$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,198.67 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 30c | 50,058$15,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,005.22 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 64c | 50,017$32,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,836.52 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks | 66c | 50,000$32,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,041.74 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 65c | 49,698$32,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,421.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 63c | 49,333$30,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,458.35 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 65c | 46,906$30,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,330.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Knicks | 59c | 46,219$27,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,888.55 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Knicks | 61c | 45,218$27,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,537.16 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 32c | 40,821$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Nuggets | 36c | 40,086$14,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,626.6 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Nuggets | 24c | 38,704$9,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,184.43 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets | 3c | 37,866$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.27 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Knicks | 65c | 37,256$24,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,139.6 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 67c | 35,122$23,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,590.41 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 39c | 35,114$13,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,525.9 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Nuggets | 38c | 35,001$13,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400.52 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Knicks | 63c | 35,000$22,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,949.85 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 7c | 32,628$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.81 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Nuggets | 36c | 32,624$11,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,744.65 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 65c | 32,283$20,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,319.66 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Knicks | 65c | 30,055$19,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,553.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Nuggets | 37c | 29,730$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 35c | 29,448$10,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,262.73 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Nuggets | 37c | 28,720$10,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,626.4 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…55d3backed Nuggets | 33c | 28,569$9,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,291.41 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Nuggets | 33c | 26,562$8,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,765.4 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 33c | 25,933$8,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,514.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 65c | 25,915$16,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 22c | 25,010$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,527.12 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Nuggets | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Nuggets | 36c | 25,000$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,099.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 40c | 22,237$8,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,910.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Nuggets | 36c | 21,948$7,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,901.33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Knicks | 66c | 21,856$14,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,394.58 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Nuggets | 34c | 20,713$7,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,104.04 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c0…3969backed Knicks | 65c | 20,630$13,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,117.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Knicks | 79c | 19,200$15,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.06 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks | 64c | 17,743$11,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,348.79 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ae…188bbacked Knicks | 64c | 17,729$11,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,383.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Nuggets | 31c | 16,400$5,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Nuggets | 35c | 16,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets | 27c | 15,864$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.8 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Nuggets | 39c | 15,736$6,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,106.05 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Knicks | 64c | 15,331$9,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.06 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Knicks | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Nuggets | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets | 30c | 14,892$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494.84 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Knicks | 68c | 14,763$10,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.23 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 33c | 14,299$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788.16 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Knicks | 61c | 13,250$8,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,167.49 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Nuggets | 38c | 13,214$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.09 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Nuggets | 37c | 13,058$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851.14 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Knicks | 63c | 12,915$8,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,729.94 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Nuggets | 36c | 12,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Knicks | 63c | 11,667$7,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.32 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Nuggets | 37c | 10,863$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.72 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Knicks | 63c | 10,720$6,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.87 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Nuggets | 33c | 10,653$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks | 69c | 10,310$7,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.22 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Nuggets | 42c | 10,117$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.35 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks | 67c | 10,000$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Knicks | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Nuggets | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Knicks | 69c | 9,840$6,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.4 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 36c | 9,659$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.16 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…e678backed Nuggets | 43c | 9,654$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.06 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks | 67c | 9,366$6,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.67 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Knicks | 66c | 9,134$6,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.58 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks | 66c | 8,540$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.47 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 35c | 8,206$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Nuggets | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Knicks | 70c | 7,968$5,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.6 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Knicks | 63c | 7,806$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.23 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…6605backed Nuggets | 29c | 7,700$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.04 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks | 64c | 7,527$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.61 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…5a02backed Knicks | 62c | 7,439$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.95 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Knicks | 66c | 7,364$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.98 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Nuggets | 33c | 7,330$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.9 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Nuggets | 37c | 7,108$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 7,100$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.69 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Knicks | 67c | 6,516$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.5 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Knicks | 70c | 6,418$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.34 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…c210backed Nuggets | 37c | 6,392$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Nuggets | 33c | 6,100$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 36c | 6,060$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…f584backed Nuggets | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Knicks | 57c | 5,769$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…3a54backed Knicks | 68c | 5,500$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Nuggets | 31c | 5,482$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Knicksthis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Miles McBride: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Miles McBride: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.