TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c7,448$3,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,303.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under51c6,387$3,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.633,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over64c5,653$3,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.353756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over54c5,560$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.224358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over53c4,380$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under37c4,177$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.1683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c4,140$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.684,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c3,906$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.842,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a3…e321backed Over78c3,105$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.378100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+237.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over57c2,449$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.793,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over49c1,862$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.773,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over74c1,511$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.111,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under43c1,336$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.4554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over53c1,180$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,110$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under41c960.17$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1121243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under41c931.17$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.43,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c854.45$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4623435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Under47c657.69$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9210156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4713464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under47c499.99$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over67c488.95$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over62c481.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8712865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9139…0b63backed Over60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over53c404.34$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over68c375$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under42c326.27$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Over60c250.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1715641.7%65 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over58c248.75$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.53641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3502…7955backed Over53c201.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+58.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8214252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e14…8d33backed Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.862619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Over53c194.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.23961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c192$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.242,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under44c130$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9854549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c72…f3ffbacked Under39c117.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.281050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd4…35b5backed Under13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13270%0 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Under34c88.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010034%34 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c83.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.092,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Under48c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.434562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+55.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under46c80.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over53c76.79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2608…34c1backed Over60c73.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.339100%9 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Under43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.130146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under40c65.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0128147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c64.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266d…083fbacked Over54c61.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.115664.3%36 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under40c59.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.953,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91b5…4a34backed Over65c55.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.381275%9 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+85.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over61c54.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.181,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over59c54.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.25435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.563,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c44.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.451,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c43.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under44c42.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5119050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6713352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.678970.8%63 W · 26 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under44c41.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2927463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Under39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156241.9%26 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over78c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.810150.5%51 W · 50 L+10.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a26…dae7backed Over66c30.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.271952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over60c30.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9419051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.535352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…c16abacked Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2247…71c2backed Over57c29.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over60c28.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3957657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under41c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.481,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a39…bf2abacked Over59c27.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.122781.5%22 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over58c24.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.416465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over58c24.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4320149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5740…5aa6backed Over59c23.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d47…45d3backed Over53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.64933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+107.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c21.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over60c21.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6640849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.