TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Nuggets, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,715 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4064…5f1ebacked Knicks66c2,580$1,692 inWon+$887.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+57.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Nuggets43c2,258$980 inLost-$980.012759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nuggets33c1,522$507 inLost-$507.11,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked Knicks32c1,200$386 inWon+$813.972259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Knicks45c999.96$449 inWon+$551.082352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets37c757$280 inLost-$280.092,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks58c520.7$300 inWon+$221.155,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Knicks57c472.55$269 inWon+$203.6348956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Knicks27c445.5$120 inWon+$325.2121935.6%78 W · 141 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets36c245.16$88 inLost-$88.262,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nuggets39c74$29 inLost-$28.7850651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9361…bb11backed Nuggets38c59.74$23 inLost-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Nuggets39c51.28$20 inLost-$203953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Nuggets27c50$14 inLost-$13.59746.4%45 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Knicks68c41.78$28 inWon+$13.566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets39c35.06$13 inLost-$13.52,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ca…83ddbacked Knicks77c32.42$25 inWon+$7.461250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Knicks63c31.87$20 inWon+$11.9440849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed Knicks61c29.74$18 inWon+$11.64146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.