NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb122fd7f58532e0b144e6e8d03619b953115ac099849a3d749b1480eba39ecc8

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Knicks, Nuggets
Resolved: Feb 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $317,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $321,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,732 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Knicks	47c	96,000$45,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,879.97	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Knicks	54c	69,000$37,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,739.88	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets	53c	36,544$19,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,368.53	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nuggets	50c	22,097$11,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,048.71	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Nuggets	53c	21,400$11,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,342	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets	53c	19,950$10,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,573.5	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Nuggets	53c	16,254$8,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,673.27	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets	46c	12,237$5,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,629.02	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets	49c	12,041$5,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,878.85	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	47c	10,597$4,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,962.29	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Nuggets	54c	9,671$5,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,206.16	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nuggets	53c	9,431$4,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,998.5	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks	46c	9,250$4,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,995	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Knicks	51c	8,883$4,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,352.76	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets	54c	7,849$4,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,238.33	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Knicks	51c	6,392$3,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,131.98	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked Nuggets	53c	5,761$3,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,053.09	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Nuggets	55c	5,650$3,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,107.5	104	51%53 W · 51 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nuggets	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.98	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets	47c	4,396$2,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,072.3	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Knicks	52c	3,900$2,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,872.75	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Knicks	49c	3,600$1,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,835.98	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Knicks	45c	3,400$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,870	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	50c	3,050$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,537.81	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks	48c	2,703$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,404.46	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Knicks	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets	48c	2,323$1,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,118.99	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	51c	2,108$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.42	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Nuggets	50c	1,710$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Knicks	50c	1,538$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets	48c	1,426$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.49	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Knicks	46c	1,387$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.98	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Knicks	49c	1,280$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.86	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets	48c	1,256$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.13	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Knicks	50c	1,245$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.66	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Nuggets	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1a…89e5backed Nuggets	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Knicks	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Nuggets	47c	961.56$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.93	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks	50c	941.1$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.55	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Nuggets	52c	931$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.12	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Knicks	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb42a…4493backed Knicks	53c	788.68$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.68	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks	52c	599.99$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.45	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks	47c	570$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.62	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Knicks	56c	535.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.71	207	54.1%112 W · 95 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Nuggets	53c	528.3$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Knicks	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Knicks	51c	421.17$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.59	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f9b…9d7dbacked Knicks	53c	420$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.46	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.31per pick	53cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Knicks	52c	378.2$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.2	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cd…3e7ebacked Nuggets	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Knicks	42c	371.45$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.65	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Nuggets	50c	361.18$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nuggets	45c	344.53$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.04	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Nuggets	51c	319.18$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.78	364	49.7%181 W · 183 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Nuggets	50c	299.63$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.82	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94bd…b0febacked Knicks	50c	293.76$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.88	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nuggets	44c	226.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.78	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks	52c	220.15$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.7	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Nuggets	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Nuggets	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Nuggets	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nuggets	48c	191.47$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Nuggets	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc871…7d99backed Nuggets	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	468	26.5%124 W · 344 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf331…ca0bbacked Nuggets	57c	176.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets	46c	164$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.7	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks	51c	157.99$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.42	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Nuggets	47c	150.47$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.12	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Nuggets	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Knicks	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets	47c	144.65$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.5	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Knicks	48c	142$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.84	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Nuggets	53c	140.01$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.2	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Nuggets	52c	138.69$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.6	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Nuggets	47c	131.74$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.1	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Nuggets	17c	129.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nuggets	55c	116.15$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.14	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Nuggets	51c	111.96$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.55	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks	48c	106.45$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.93	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed Knicks	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nuggets	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Knicks	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Knicks	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Nuggets	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	319	55.2%176 W · 143 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nuggets	47c	88.2$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.25	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nuggets	46c	86.13$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.01	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Nuggets	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	463	46.4%215 W · 248 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Nuggets	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Knicks	46c	73.97$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.94	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Knicks	51c	70$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.3	421	46.1%194 W · 227 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nuggets	47c	65.87$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9932…f309backed Knicks	49c	65.31$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Knicks	48c	65$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.8	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Nuggets	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	66	63.6%42 W · 24 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Nuggets	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	120	40%48 W · 72 L	-10.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0af…6fc6backed Knicks	51c	55.17$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.03	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Knicks	26c	53.33$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	146	36.3%53 W · 93 L	+16.4wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Nuggets won
Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Miles McBride: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Miles McBride: Points O/U 10.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Nuggets vs. KnicksKnicks won
Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event