TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$499,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$521,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over51c106,610$54,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,239.0120055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7caa…b9b0backed Under49c20,160$9,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,878.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Under56c20,000$11,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,273.994725.5%12 W · 35 L-12.4wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c19,500$9,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,554.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c18,288$8,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,937.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c16,917$8,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1202,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c15,775$8,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,689.942,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over51c14,532$7,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,166.4829055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9092…4ca2backed Under49c12,600$6,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,174850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over49c12,533$6,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,357.071,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c11,463$5,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,616.652,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cf…7d64backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9838251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.91,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under49c9,796$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over52c9,596$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,606.144358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Over52c9,552$4,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,565.2514356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under54c9,438$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,080.1834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under49c9,269$4,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,541.9342648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c8,383$3,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.312,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under49c6,992$3,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42631644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c6,959$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.051,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd8…ff1abacked Under49c6,749$3,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Under49c6,735$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30013748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c5,116$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,476.284,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb63…3800backed Under49c5,040$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c4,847$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Under48c4,666$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.682646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under49c4,579$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.9412950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5009…b7b5backed Under49c4,455$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7e…2bcfbacked Under49c4,422$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2be…37c4backed Under49c4,368$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x466a…def3backed Over51c4,321$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x998c…b6c8backed Over51c4,266$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4212…7615backed Over51c4,223$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c5…c932backed Under49c4,185$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f97…37b2backed Under49c3,999$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0a…edf0backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…ac66backed Over51c3,877$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e34…cb6fbacked Under49c3,866$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c3,821$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.423,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Under49c3,819$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.317536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under49c3,762$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.3646145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c3,743$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.593,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1063…644fbacked Over51c3,655$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaad…189bbacked Over51c3,444$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.564100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under49c3,374$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.0235744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c3,330$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.022,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2edc…28cebacked Under49c3,322$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc268…78cdbacked Under49c3,266$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb057…b657backed Over50c3,233$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58b…a69abacked Under50c3,233$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3199…d00fbacked Under49c3,232$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9998…15fdbacked Over51c3,156$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…a840backed Under49c3,155$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef6…5cadbacked Under50c3,079$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec45…3cadbacked Over51c3,022$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312e…0d9cbacked Under49c3,010$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e7…db2bbacked Over51c3,005$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a8…3334backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3502…7955backed Over51c2,989$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.39683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+58.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c2,978$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.112,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc24…2324backed Over51c2,888$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd262…819abacked Over50c2,871$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under48c2,848$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.0965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c2,824$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…044fbacked Under50c2,822$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over45c2,816$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.742,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d09…a4a0backed Under49c2,646$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb374…d64abacked Over50c2,611$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c2,607$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.21,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5168…ebabbacked Over50c2,423$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under46c2,253$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.083,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,121$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd28…1ebfbacked Under49c2,121$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over51c2,080$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0571…fdccbacked Over51c2,054$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9369…e459backed Under49c2,053$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c7…78e8backed Over51c2,045$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…a90fbacked Over51c2,044$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca44…04b1backed Over51c2,044$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01dd…2c1abacked Under49c2,044$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16d7…6e81backed Over51c2,036$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc88…21a4backed Under49c2,033$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over51c2,032$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.6845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc661…c504backed Over51c2,031$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64fa…8cbabacked Under49c2,022$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1f0…74bdbacked Over51c2,022$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b3…5e12backed Under49c2,018$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae7…8ddfbacked Under49c2,013$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bbe…7687backed Under49c2,012$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa798…25b8backed Over51c2,010$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e41…0755backed Under49c2,006$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.