TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869f…7a8bbacked Over52c21,798$11,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,380.464052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over50c19,603$9,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,818.774355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c13,770$6,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,707.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c6,431$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.4371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd8…ff1abacked Under47c5,891$2,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c4,653$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.552,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c3,486$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c3,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc056…ffaabacked Under46c2,666$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbf…ecf9backed Under46c2,658$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de8…2342backed Under47c2,566$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c2,376$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,334$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9c…ef88backed Under47c2,333$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over49c2,288$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.7637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb20a…530cbacked Under46c2,255$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8216442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under49c1,893$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.4215141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb75…66babacked Under46c1,788$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Over59c1,787$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.243850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under49c1,774$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.7154747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9501…bf30backed Under47c1,755$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc23…9d98backed Under47c1,752$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6b…b248backed Over53c1,515$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0214…e865backed Over54c1,510$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under48c1,480$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.311,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1a…408fbacked Over54c1,422$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…f328backed Over54c1,400$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6443100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over49c1,378$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.6615450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over56c1,377$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3161…7e87backed Over54c1,365$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over50c1,358$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67958347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x929f…3a2abacked Over53c1,212$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef0…8a33backed Over54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.06450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf517…dfadbacked Over53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d0…64ebbacked Over54c1,010$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x947e…8367backed Over53c1,008$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f93…c140backed Over54c1,005$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8a…31febacked Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4702100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa80b…d029backed Over53c999$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under52c952.98$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.5571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under44c910.98$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8610156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde41…b848backed Over53c888$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over53c781.01$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.8429055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c722.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.121,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dff…dc6bbacked Over53c684$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf05…7a5fbacked Over54c544$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4833150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under53c526.81$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4621243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under51c411$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.611,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c373.44$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.473,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c283.04$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.782,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c273.34$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.923,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c208.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c198.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c190.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under49c186.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Over49c181.89$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.765642.9%24 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c177.54$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c176$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.482,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under44c170.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.021,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under52c166.24$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4327943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under53c145$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c130.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.512,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under50c116.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8420149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.211,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99e…fa3dbacked Over53c94.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.371546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under45c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under47c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.016541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6cadbacked Under47c81.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.362937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under47c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.614560%27 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under51c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.319050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over56c58.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.821,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5614450%72 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over49c53.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1220949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2365855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ba…5038backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under48c39.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0153043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Under48c38.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.537851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4d…6103backed Over51c32.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.761450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x949d…374cbacked Over55c29.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.242290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+38.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over52c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5835049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…87a4backed Over53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.162759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Under44c26.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.686541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d89…87b0backed Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Over55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.