NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd720cd678f6ed6af605c44120127d47ce96f963d6341edf6be46ba6643129d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 51c | 5,900$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.99 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 5,306$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 4,299$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.38 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 2,913$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.85 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 49c | 2,900$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 2,602$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 2,359$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.45 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 52c | 1,920$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.54 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 1,859$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.78 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 1,772$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 1,486$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 16c | 802.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.23 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 51c | 719.61$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.61 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Under | 49c | 509.42$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…abaabacked Over | 53c | 385.19$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 49c | 385.18$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 380$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 311.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.92 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 295.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9164…f32bbacked Under | 50c | 281.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 238.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 52c | 73.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 50c | 53.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Under | 52c | 40.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Over | 50c | 37.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 46c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 26.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 50c | 25.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Miles McBride: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Miles McBride: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.