NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ee877db7fbfe944f31649af5fe37296857eade8f561c509f2120229270857b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Knicks | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,999.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…36c4backed Nuggets | 47c | 81,128$37,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,939.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 47c | 56,642$26,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,621.83 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 49c | 31,162$15,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,344.99 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 47c | 21,572$10,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,214.49 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Knicks | 54c | 13,573$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,243.79 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Knicks | 53c | 10,100$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.99 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 53c | 10,026$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Knicks | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks | 51c | 9,615$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.35 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 9,231$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.2 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Knicks | 49c | 8,621$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.05 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 46c | 8,455$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Knicks | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.14 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 47c | 6,765$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Knicks | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 6,045$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks | 54c | 6,000$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.03 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Nuggets | 47c | 5,620$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,125$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Knicks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Knicks | 51c | 5,000$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,770$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Knicks | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.99 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,000$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.19 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…61edbacked Knicks | 56c | 3,808$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,798$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…72f8backed Knicks | 55c | 3,728$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 3,328$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…ef9fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,834$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3899…14d5backed Nuggets | 44c | 2,832$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…7c69backed Knicks | 56c | 2,519$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,363$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.43 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c2…67f2backed Knicks | 55c | 2,216$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Knicks | 58c | 2,107$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.93 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,101$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…973abacked Knicks | 55c | 2,084$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e0…ef86backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,055$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d0…f5febacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,044$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1df…bbfdbacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,034$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…619abacked Knicks | 55c | 2,033$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb24…39c3backed Knicks | 55c | 2,024$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…92bbbacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,021$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…1a36backed Knicks | 55c | 2,014$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…2a1cbacked Knicks | 55c | 2,011$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…8dcfbacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,011$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614c…5d09backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,002$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…707dbacked Knicks | 55c | 2,001$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…71c9backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,920$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Knicks | 56c | 1,807$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.19 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks | 53c | 1,688$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.52 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Knicks | 54c | 1,584$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.68 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Knicks | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,393$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.9 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Knicks | 53c | 1,333$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.51 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…c5f5backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,286$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,173$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.7 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,074$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.42 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks | 53c | 1,053$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Knicks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb486…e2d0backed Nuggets | 44c | 942$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 49c | 935.8$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Knicks | 77c | 904.91$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 826$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.22 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…2775backed Nuggets | 45c | 818$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nuggets | 41c | 809$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.69 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Knicks | 52c | 749$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.52 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks | 51c | 682.34$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Knicks | 55c | 640$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 73c | 619$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.24 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…f522backed Nuggets | 44c | 616$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…b033backed Nuggets | 44c | 606$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Knicks | 36c | 560.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.43 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Knicks | 58c | 551.72$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.72 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Nuggets | 63c | 523.98$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.56 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Knicks | 77c | 500$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…299bbacked Knicks | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Nuggets | 50c | 486.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Knicks | 53c | 476.49$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.75 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 48c | 471.26$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.34 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…2b82backed Nuggets | 45c | 468$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Knicks | 77c | 451.87$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 48c | 412$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 399.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Knicks | 27c | 396.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.84 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Knicks | 55c | 328.81$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…3647backed Nuggets | 45c | 326$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…2623backed Nuggets | 45c | 304$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 298.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Nuggets | 50c | 297$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks | 44c | 281.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nuggets | 54c | 277.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf25…a7dfbacked Nuggets | 45c | 260$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…0b15backed Nuggets | 45c | 254$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e1…5b9bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 254$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 46c | 249.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Miles McBride: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Miles McBride: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.