TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets51c27,247$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks48c21,872$10,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,381.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets53c14,820$7,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,823.971,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks48c10,830$5,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,621.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Nuggets52c6,710$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.13759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Knicks50c5,679$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.319954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee27…e8fcbacked Knicks48c5,004$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Knicks51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets50c4,665$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.414,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…936fbacked Nuggets52c4,658$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…419dbacked Nuggets52c4,648$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df9…f2cbbacked Nuggets52c4,636$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c00…4413backed Nuggets52c4,568$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272f…b822backed Nuggets54c4,554$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6221…8782backed Nuggets53c4,504$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f7…78dcbacked Knicks47c4,494$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8c…c883backed Nuggets53c4,494$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e09…54a8backed Knicks48c4,486$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…8220backed Nuggets53c4,480$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c7…2b82backed Knicks47c4,480$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189e…7c92backed Nuggets53c4,442$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55b…7ef6backed Nuggets54c4,392$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d3…e267backed Nuggets54c4,362$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6051…e934backed Nuggets52c4,306$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…35e4backed Nuggets54c4,300$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46f…3647backed Knicks46c4,098$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37b…2775backed Knicks47c4,084$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf723…7835backed Nuggets54c4,024$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks47c3,967$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.833,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe072…789fbacked Knicks48c3,916$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade5…9937backed Nuggets52c3,908$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad4…b033backed Nuggets52c3,898$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…8e42backed Knicks48c3,898$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40d…2623backed Knicks46c3,810$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ae…a154backed Nuggets53c3,792$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e2…7ae0backed Knicks47c3,790$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd53c…c70abacked Knicks49c3,756$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafc…c19cbacked Nuggets51c3,752$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cee…b194backed Knicks48c3,726$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…7a5fbacked Knicks48c3,645$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks45c3,624$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.395,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aee…b179backed Knicks48c3,616$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b40…f522backed Nuggets52c3,570$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a78…3e31backed Knicks48c3,570$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…0ca4backed Knicks49c3,541$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1038…7186backed Knicks47c3,532$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b6…3bafbacked Knicks48c3,488$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb486…e2d0backed Nuggets52c3,420$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3a…2cf8backed Knicks48c3,420$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de3…8509backed Nuggets51c3,408$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43ea…f426backed Knicks47c3,366$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeafc…ac98backed Nuggets51c3,325$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54fc…15c6backed Knicks49c3,321$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5524…1f9cbacked Nuggets51c3,321$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8e…c5f5backed Nuggets52c3,310$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…c312backed Knicks48c3,310$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf25…a7dfbacked Knicks46c3,272$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e1…5b9bbacked Knicks46c3,190$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bec…0b15backed Knicks46c3,178$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x838e…1039backed Knicks49c3,125$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee8c…77c4backed Knicks48c3,100$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae2…eb0bbacked Nuggets51c3,025$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a2…a18fbacked Knicks49c3,021$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09de…1a08backed Knicks49c3,012$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c29…2ebabacked Nuggets51c2,945$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Knicks49c2,857$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.149051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1a…408fbacked Nuggets52c2,744$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets52c2,644$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d0…64ebbacked Knicks48c2,535$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef0…8a33backed Nuggets52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbf…ecf9backed Knicks48c2,433$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0214…e865backed Nuggets52c2,322$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nuggets52c2,269$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.661,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc056…ffaabacked Nuggets52c2,263$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb42a…4493backed Knicks49c2,165$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.311346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets50c2,121$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b2…09d8backed Knicks48c2,062$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x144e…45b3backed Nuggets52c2,055$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf5d…48d1backed Nuggets52c2,052$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6621…c66cbacked Knicks48c2,051$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…ef9fbacked Knicks47c2,050$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc356…0372backed Nuggets52c2,044$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce4…14fbbacked Knicks48c2,043$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c2…23c0backed Nuggets52c2,042$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e9e…c032backed Knicks48c2,041$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53b7…d90abacked Nuggets52c2,033$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b19…b8c9backed Knicks48c2,032$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c98…1dd5backed Nuggets52c2,030$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2447…9601backed Knicks48c2,024$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3019…0cbfbacked Knicks48c2,023$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x820f…e2d5backed Nuggets52c2,022$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Knicks43c2,018$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.218553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1746…8af4backed Nuggets52c2,014$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c28…9912backed Knicks48c2,014$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4412…2756backed Nuggets52c2,011$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fb…76a5backed Knicks48c2,011$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8928…0982backed Knicks48c2,004$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e5…ef89backed Nuggets52c2,002$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb86…35a1backed Nuggets52c2,001$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcb…1608backed Nuggets52c2,001$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.