TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Knicks, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78c7…f8e6backed Nuggets51c13,512$6,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,556.93875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x822d…334cbacked Knicks49c6,795$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0214…c63bbacked Knicks49c6,760$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Knicks6c3,955$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Knicks53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32518536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Nuggets60c2,257$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.889857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks40c1,832$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.771,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks44c1,194$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e5…1f2fbacked Knicks41c960.44$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Nuggets58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0727158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets52c818.6$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.663,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks44c652.96$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.193,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Nuggets68c588.96$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.473360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Knicks20c581.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11613837%51 W · 87 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks32c531.03$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks32c512.61$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.043,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets59c500.46$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.341,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Knicks47c422$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks40c408.57$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1643,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Nuggets65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6290957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Nuggets61c333.93$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.232568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Nuggets61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Nuggets60c317$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks49c307.46$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c3…4b14backed Nuggets63c299.52$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.822520%5 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets47c275.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Knicks41c263.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10823546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks46c246.83$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.965,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x763d…0ec9backed Nuggets54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d8…e7d2backed Nuggets80c233$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.641553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Nuggets59c213.4$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7421243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Nuggets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7813464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Nuggets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3116853%89 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets59c170.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.223,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9381845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Nuggets60c158.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.264656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Knicks40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Knicks50c147.02$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Knicks41c137.05$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1927943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nuggets56c126.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9550651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks11c118.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.992,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Nuggets55c110$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Nuggets61c108.2$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.21,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca4…2a96backed Nuggets65c103.58$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5830836%111 W · 197 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Nuggets60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Nuggets52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4837850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Nuggets63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.961253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Nuggets56c94.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7514947%70 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Knicks35c91.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3247045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Knicks23c89.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6719050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Knicks38c83.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.735444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Knicks37c81.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.152,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Nuggets74c77.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.214445.5%20 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Nuggets70c71.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6728554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Nuggets62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.633360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks49c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Nuggets61c54.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.149358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa730…dd50backed Nuggets65c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Nuggets61c49.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2633249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Nuggets53c48.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9472250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Nuggets54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.319951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets52c44.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.063,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks23c43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Nuggets61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9813352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Knicks39c40.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84774.5%35 W · 12 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+43.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Knicks50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019649%96 W · 100 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Nuggets50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Nuggets55c38.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4419051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Nuggets59c38.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd227…0e69backed Nuggets60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.335869%40 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Nuggets60c31.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.540849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Nuggets62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0d4…2c19backed Knicks43c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.051127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nuggets68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2454549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x949d…374cbacked Nuggets59c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.482290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+38.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks45c27.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.393,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Knicks47c26.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4819750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3744…3e65backed Knicks40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107843.6%34 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Nuggets60c23.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3325150.6%127 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Knicks45c23.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe178…e480backed Knicks46c21.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.112744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Nuggets52c21.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3930743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed Nuggets77c20.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.726344.4%28 W · 35 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.