TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,973 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No56c2,940$1,641 inLost-$1,641.241,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Yes43c1,166$500 inWon+$666.2212850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No55c1,000$550 inLost-$5501,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No55c941.84$518 inLost-$517.951,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed Yes45c799.26$356 inWon+$443.492236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No55c600$330 inLost-$3301,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa51…a910backed Yes45c524.63$236 inWon+$288.794645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes45c507$228 inWon+$278.9243543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No56c429.73$239 inLost-$239.4521243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed No59c245$145 inLost-$144.5516361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x040b…f8a0backed Yes55c186.64$103 inWon+$84.062356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No45c179.64$81 inLost-$80.845,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x327a…02ffbacked Yes43c160$69 inWon+$91.24431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.7wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x575f…7febbacked Yes43c100$43 inWon+$574535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes43c100$43 inWon+$5738048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes44c80$35 inWon+$45.124428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes45c80$36 inWon+$442433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed No56c61.36$34 inLost-$34.3632957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x027c…08c5backed Yes43c47$20 inWon+$26.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Yes47c40$19 inWon+$21.22528%7 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes46c31.4$14 inWon+$16.962,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No53c23.22$12 inLost-$12.2132866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.