TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2608…34c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 64 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+113.6%+$56.81
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration - Game 1 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+89.1%+$43.64
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.23
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs strongboys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+52.2%+$26.08
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$104.24
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+175.5%+$75.48
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$45
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150.4%+$45.12
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+67.2%+$16.12
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.49
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$43.98
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Tenerife 2: Stefano Travaglia vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Argentina Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mariano Navonebacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+127.3%+$73.82
Set 1 Winner: Buse vs Baezbacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$54.69
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Rotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+97.9%+$37.6
Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+59.6%+$17.88
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.3%+$60.67
Open Sud de France: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardibacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+67.4%+$47.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST9100%9 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.34per pick53cpaid+62.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawksbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.58
Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racersbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+114.2%+$89.11
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$26.18
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacksbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$56.58
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-2.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+76.4%+$34.39
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$48.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.5%+$26.89
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$19.46
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$76.67
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+931%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+1,961.9%+$255.05
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots Team Total: O/U 17.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.