Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d10b201d0bcb7834cbfde0d3d12fccdf288108f9495ec214dc3f114a2f71501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof GamerLegion, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Execration | 20c | 4,051$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.21 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion | 64c | 2,009$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.87 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Execration | 40c | 1,793$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.65 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 1,424$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.01 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed GamerLegion | 59c | 1,125$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.62 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 79c | 625.92$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.76 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Execration | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Execration | 25c | 567.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.71 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Execration | 46c | 447.3$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.78 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed GamerLegion | 57c | 438.44$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.61 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed GamerLegion | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Execration | 38c | 399.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked GamerLegion | 60c | 305.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Execration | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Execration | 24c | 232.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion | 62c | 171.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Execration | 10c | 166.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed GamerLegion | 53c | 165.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Execration | 60c | 110.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Execration | 47c | 108.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Execration | 47c | 106.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked GamerLegion | 16c | 93.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed GamerLegion | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Execration | 47c | 64.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed GamerLegion | 58c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed GamerLegion | 62c | 56.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 40c | 32.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Execration | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf774…3821backed Execration | 36c | 28.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…041dbacked GamerLegion | 71c | 25.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…54c0backed GamerLegion | 61c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group BExecration won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.