Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6167774934970032d25be9959e4eede6942e48d35bf1e4c0152e5760d69d19fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof GamerLegion, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked GamerLegion | 4c | 5,230$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Execration | 65c | 1,584$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.25 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed GamerLegion | 61c | 1,302$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked GamerLegion | 34c | 1,087$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.06 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GamerLegion | 2c | 963.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed GamerLegion | 3c | 739.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed GamerLegion | 54c | 668.75$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.8 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion | 50c | 478.32$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.32 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…ee61backed GamerLegion | 62c | 455.69$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked GamerLegion | 12c | 441$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed Execration | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Execration | 53c | 379.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.44 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed GamerLegion | 64c | 310.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed GamerLegion | 15c | 299$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Execration | 61c | 292.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GamerLegion | 18c | 245.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 57c | 220.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Execration | 61c | 188.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 57c | 166.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Execration | 39c | 141.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0473…f001backed GamerLegion | 33c | 134$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Execration | 39c | 126.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Execration | 36c | 119.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed GamerLegion | 48c | 116.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf82d…0e4bbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed GamerLegion | 14c | 110.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Execration | 39c | 105.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Execration | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Execration | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked GamerLegion | 60c | 89.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 85.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Execration | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed GamerLegion | 63c | 79.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…a9d1backed GamerLegion | 51c | 78.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Execration | 57c | 70.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked Execration | 39c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Execration | 30c | 59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked GamerLegion | 57c | 57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Execration | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed GamerLegion | 38c | 47.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed GamerLegion | 23c | 46.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 44.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Execration | 40c | 39.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked GamerLegion | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Execration | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Execration | 42c | 26.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed GamerLegion | 44c | 26.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x626b…6780backed Execration | 69c | 24.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Execration | 47c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0d…7e11backed Execration | 65c | 21.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Execration | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerExecration won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.