Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda1e212c0c5e4aa5d24c0efa3939bec8d6a37857e693e1138a35df41853c811
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof GamerLegion, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2586…f071backed Execration | 77c | 2,202$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.43 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Execration | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Execration | 48c | 958.49$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.18 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed GamerLegion | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed GamerLegion | 52c | 727.07$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.77 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 53c | 698.32$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.62 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed GamerLegion | 70c | 425.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Execration | 39c | 423.6$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.96 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion | 46c | 334.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed GamerLegion | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Execration | 59c | 305$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Execration | 41c | 251.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 53c | 201.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Execration | 44c | 189.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed GamerLegion | 56c | 162.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Execration | 52c | 153.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed GamerLegion | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed GamerLegion | 55c | 107.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed GamerLegion | 22c | 106.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked GamerLegion | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Execration | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Execration | 40c | 99.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked GamerLegion | 44c | 97.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Execration | 80c | 94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Execration | 53c | 92.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Execration | 51c | 87.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Execration | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Execration | 49c | 74.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed GamerLegion | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Execration | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 23c | 42.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed GamerLegion | 53c | 42.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed GamerLegion | 64c | 38.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Execration | 48c | 33.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Execration | 45c | 31.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Execration | 60c | 31.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…9551backed Execration | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed GamerLegion | 51c | 26.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Execration | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed Execration | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group BExecration won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerExecration won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.