Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Humbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc969d7e2878bd0d21dda6819daa53ceac493a10f704e9058bdd42c612a19ebbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Medvedev, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Medvedev | 48c | 998.96$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.5 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Humbert | 52c | 849.99$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Humbert | 50c | 429$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.66 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Humbert | 40c | 104$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…da06backed Medvedev | 52c | 94.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Humbert | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Medvedev | 45c | 82.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…0789backed Medvedev | 53c | 75.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Humbert | 39c | 74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Medvedev | 65c | 68.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Medvedev | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…8b56backed Medvedev | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…35b7backed Humbert | 52c | 33.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Medvedev | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Medvedev | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Medvedev | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Humbert | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Medvedev | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Medvedev | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Humbertthis page
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo HumbertHumbert won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)Humbert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.