Tennis · resolved market
Medvedev vs. Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20b2d38bc4f0c436c22fe439c72a7a546ed692d42f9e4ca35b6342def6ef6e3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 19c | 2,227$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.56 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over 2.5 | 49c | 304.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.12 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over 2.5 | 48c | 219.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under 2.5 | 11c | 195$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Over 2.5 | 60c | 142.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under 2.5 | 51c | 98.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over 2.5 | 40c | 68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +8.8wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over 2.5 | 59c | 59.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Over 2.5 | 80c | 57.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Over 2.5 | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Under 2.5 | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo HumbertHumbert won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs HumbertHumbert won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)Humbert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.