Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb4fb39ac4e92e4d4ff7cde771404325a2fc07d8a4ab1e49a0c3b7233989434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Nigma Galaxy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Zero Tenacity | 47c | 10,000$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.95 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 5,357$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 4,379$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.83 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,465$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.45 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 1,060$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 1,015$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.7 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,003$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.75 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 763.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 616.85$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.99 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 591.82$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 455.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.8 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 439.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 417.39$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…c982backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 203.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 174.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 146.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…49c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 113.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 108.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 99.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 97.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 90.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf1…c90ebacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 53.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…224ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 43.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 37.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…808dbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 14.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.