Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x215eb17101f353e281d82852d5ad2de517fc3281a2aaf1cad3ca4f77935dd09a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 15,752$6,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,616 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 15,000$6,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,887.92 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 12,315$7,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,227.09 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 8,374$5,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.72 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 7,357$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.11 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 6,693$4,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.36 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 5,661$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 4,654$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 3,504$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.78 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 2,625$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.78 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 2,445$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.15 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 2,369$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.07 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 2,289$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.25 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 2,098$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.36 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,928$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 1,654$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.89 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,606$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.77 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 1,507$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.15 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,467$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.34 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 1,174$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 1,157$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.4 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,141$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 1,116$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Zero Tenacity | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 1,057$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.29 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 1,039$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,032$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 1,029$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.11 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 956.69$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.28 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 928.21$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.11 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 912.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 850$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 811.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.56 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 789.84$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.24 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 738.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 705.69$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.79 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 621.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 616.66$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.33 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 599.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 592.07$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 572.58$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 549.99$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 502.91$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 478.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 440.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 430.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 404.44$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 399.91$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 350.06$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 336$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 309$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 298.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Zero Tenacity | 6c | 289.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…9375backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 277.34$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 275.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 268.48$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 268.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 257.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 255.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 248.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 248.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 221.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 206$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…9db5backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 198.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 190.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 186.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 185$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 180.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 175$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 170.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…fc19backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 163.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 161.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…0b35backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 153.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 151.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3796…006cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 146.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22a…41d5backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 136.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 135.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf1…c90ebacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 131$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…6c41backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 127.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0c…9dd0backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 123.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…1770backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 122.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 120.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 112.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.