CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09f98db90c12dcc6dea4666966760ee3e1135a0f31120a3e186c0d2a23fdd4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- kONO.ECFof FORZE Reload, kONO.ECF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked kONO.ECF | 24c | 7,849$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,002.46 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed FORZE Reload | 79c | 6,970$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.57 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…63d7backed FORZE Reload | 76c | 2,209$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FORZE Reload | 67c | 1,462$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked kONO.ECF | 25c | 1,346$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed FORZE Reload | 57c | 1,209$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed kONO.ECF | 22c | 700$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed kONO.ECF | 27c | 423.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked kONO.ECF | 19c | 399.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.61 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed FORZE Reload | 80c | 374$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 57c | 303.84$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked kONO.ECF | 43c | 287.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.31 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed kONO.ECF | 46c | 282.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked kONO.ECF | 53c | 281.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…d966backed FORZE Reload | 59c | 213.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…0808backed kONO.ECF | 29c | 195.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed kONO.ECF | 20c | 191.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed kONO.ECF | 24c | 187.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.64 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…ce5dbacked kONO.ECF | 53c | 186.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed kONO.ECF | 54c | 184.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked FORZE Reload | 62c | 172.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked FORZE Reload | 61c | 154.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked kONO.ECF | 44c | 150.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf774…3821backed kONO.ECF | 24c | 131.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed FORZE Reload | 75c | 125$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked kONO.ECF | 50c | 110.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed FORZE Reload | 75c | 105.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 102.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed kONO.ECF | 19c | 101.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +234.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed FORZE Reload | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed kONO.ECF | 46c | 89.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed FORZE Reload | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked FORZE Reload | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed kONO.ECF | 40c | 79.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed kONO.ECF | 48c | 73.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked kONO.ECF | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked kONO.ECF | 51c | 44.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked FORZE Reload | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked FORZE Reload | 79c | 34.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed FORZE Reload | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked FORZE Reload | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed FORZE Reload | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked FORZE Reload | 62c | 24.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed FORZE Reload | 72c | 20.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked FORZE Reload | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed FORZE Reload | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed FORZE Reload | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed FORZE Reload | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs kONO.ECF - Map 1 WinnerFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs kONO.ECF - Map 2 WinnerkONO.ECF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.