TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x624e…a482

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT4928.6%14 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$16.39
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.53
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46.02
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+128.1%+$156.64
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$74.97
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$182.03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+167.1%+$132.8
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$117.33
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$98.22
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+137.2%+$246.97
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$140.38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.71
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.29
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.23
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TDK vs WW Team (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+106%+$21.2
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Cbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: East Asian Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.37
Counter-Strike: The Continental vs WATERMELON (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffsbacked The Continental · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs m1x (BO1) - DraculaN Group Dbacked m1x · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.11
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$79.42
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+88.5%+$22.13
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+33.1%+$34.32
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+52.3%+$7.85
Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs PRIME (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked PRIME · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$34.61
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37%+$19.72
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+30.4%+$8.79
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$105.28
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austin: Simona Waltert vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.09
Brasilia: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Miguel Tobonbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lugano: Petr Brunclik vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
Tigre 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Lugano: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Daniil Glinkabacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+110%+$13
Antalya: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Amarissa Kiara Tothbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34.87
Lugano: August Holmgren vs Mika Brunoldbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Merida Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Donna Vekicbacked Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.06
Lugano: Alex Rybakov vs Maxim Mrvabacked Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.5%+$11.88
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jelena Ostapenko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjenbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.22
Les Sables d'Olonne: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.8%+$14.34
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.5%+$26.88
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35%+$10.56
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+107.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Morehead State Eagles (W)backed Morehead State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+113.8%+$19.58
New Orleans Privateers vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.5%+$20.07
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.68
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$65.58
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$23.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.