Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44bfa0607e69d602eca8649df7b905f798265795e247f6fda799f445cb6b9e39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,219 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed No | 1c | 10,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,729$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.23 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 26c | 1,753$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.03 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…f075backed Yes | 2c | 1,739$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +3,025%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 1,456$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.86 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 1,412$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.13 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,402$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.59 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 42c | 998.42$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.04 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 791.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.92 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 61c | 757.88$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.61 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 50c | 598.16$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 57c | 558.28$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.9 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 39c | 460$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.79 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 55c | 458.12$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.56 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 39c | 438.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.48 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…e075backed Yes | 73c | 410.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 32c | 384.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.27 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 6c | 351.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 46c | 344.55$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 53c | 339.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 40c | 326.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.87 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…0f44backed Yes | 9c | 314.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.48 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 296.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 52c | 282$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 47c | 275.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 66c | 264.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 67c | 254.97$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…0ae9backed Yes | 40c | 254.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…03d9backed Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 71c | 227.21$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 45c | 222.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 220.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 26c | 214.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 52c | 204.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 182 | 24.2%44 W · 138 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaa…1d0ebacked Yes | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…6bd4backed Yes | 45c | 196.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 12c | 192.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 32c | 186.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 63c | 183.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…25f6backed Yes | 77c | 174.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 62c | 173.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…23b4backed Yes | 59c | 171.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 33c | 155$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 29c | 151.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe636…e062backed No | 55c | 150.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 57c | 146.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…009fbacked Yes | 43c | 142$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…03fbbacked No | 69c | 140.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed No | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 38c | 136.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…84a7backed No | 58c | 132.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…3b29backed No | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 39c | 128.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f46…8279backed No | 35c | 123$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 53c | 122.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Yes | 61c | 120.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 42c | 118.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 42c | 118.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 35c | 114.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 60c | 113.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 72c | 103.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 26c | 102.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 105 | 10.5%11 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 15c | 99.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…eb68backed Yes | 27c | 85.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +267.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 40c | 81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…0e93backed Yes | 51c | 80.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed No | 76c | 78.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 34c | 71.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 71.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 44c | 68.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…da3ebacked No | 57c | 66.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…6883backed Yes | 38c | 65.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…8480backed Yes | 27c | 65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…75c4backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 65c | 55.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 47c | 54.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…522bbacked No | 75c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…c53fbacked Yes | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…2ba8backed Yes | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…125bbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 49.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…24cabacked Yes | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 23c | 47.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc9…81ecbacked Yes | 44c | 46.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e4…e646backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 47c | 43.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 76c | 43.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 75c | 43.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…c0d4backed No | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…95dabacked Yes | 27c | 40.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a68…6630backed Yes | 35c | 40.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…6a52backed Yes | 53c | 37.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 68c | 37.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.