Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc420aca05e6ce8d8245cdac1f817d53a2f97d8c2c81853e705d73af52257be6

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,545 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	5c	3,851$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.24	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	2c	3,503$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	2,174$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.75	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	1,385$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.96	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86f7…4edbbacked Yes	20c	977.34$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	15c	858.75$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.61	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	6c	784.31$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.93	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	12c	756.61$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.75	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97c2…55d6backed No	80c	730.6$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.47	40	70%28 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	5c	696.5$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.35	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	19c	632.82$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	10c	611.85$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c1…90cdbacked Yes	36c	604.45$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.72	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9349…0486backed Yes	6c	600$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes	19c	595.71$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	112	8%9 W · 103 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-80%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	9c	557.35$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.99	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…978dbacked Yes	22c	483.09$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.74	100	32%32 W · 68 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	15c	472.6$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.49	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes	10c	461.46$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.54	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	21c	426.2$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.25	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f6…f00abacked Yes	9c	409.03$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	3c	397.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x440a…0ae9backed Yes	24c	361.61$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.63	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	16c	360.25$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.94	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes	29c	344.81$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.12	247	32.4%80 W · 167 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	341.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	38c	300$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.7	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeed0…8817backed Yes	37c	268.8$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes	12c	256.69$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.72	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6709…af18backed No	79c	243.42$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.38	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0451…b87abacked Yes	28c	238.96$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.76	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9454…7f72backed Yes	55c	234.29$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	12c	230.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	9c	230.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.03	279	20.4%57 W · 222 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	197.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	72c	196.41$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.2	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x185f…3649backed Yes	12c	191.24$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No	56c	178.96$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.96	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+4.2wins	+0.22per pick	47cpaid	+76.8%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9edf…0f44backed Yes	31c	161.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	9.2%6 W · 59 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	20c	151.32$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da4…e65cbacked Yes	14c	150$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	76c	145$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.14	261	67%175 W · 86 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54db…68a7backed Yes	11c	141.64$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e3…59cdbacked Yes	31c	133.73$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x254c…7678backed No	76c	129.66$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.19	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	71cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed No	73c	124.99$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.95	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee38…fd31backed No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	39	71.8%28 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	20c	119.05$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	24c	110.44$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	797	35.9%286 W · 511 L	-34.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…0847backed Yes	27c	102.02$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f81…0e93backed Yes	26c	96.77$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes	13c	91.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	317	43.2%137 W · 180 L	+28.2wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec87…8d59backed Yes	39c	77.13$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2b…74e3backed Yes	15c	73.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	31c	65.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2b…6a52backed Yes	20c	56.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	24c	53.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes	24c	50.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	63	9.5%6 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0186…40edbacked No	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.9	97	33%32 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.85	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes	21c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	29c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	26c	44.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	378	30.7%116 W · 262 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e7…7c61backed No	60c	40.08$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.09	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3240…5d25backed No	74c	15.27$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?this page
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes won
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event