Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ffd22dcd9df65d6c52e51fb7a2497f26140cea115eba91f9c7e310690a7c20e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof VP.Prodigy, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 2,304$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed VP.Prodigy | 50c | 1,908$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.06 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked VP.Prodigy | 59c | 1,520$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.12 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…642fbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 1,191$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked L1ga Team | 72c | 699.99$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked L1ga Team | 69c | 507.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e5…5677backed L1ga Team | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e3…77e0backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VP.Prodigy | 56c | 377.27$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed L1ga Team | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 62c | 259.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed VP.Prodigy | 59c | 227.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed L1ga Team | 41c | 166.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked L1ga Team | 44c | 165.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 147.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked L1ga Team | 65c | 140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed VP.Prodigy | 71c | 137.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed VP.Prodigy | 44c | 130.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed VP.Prodigy | 51c | 107.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 103$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 90.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 70.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed VP.Prodigy | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed VP.Prodigy | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked L1ga Team | 26c | 57.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 53.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed VP.Prodigy | 60c | 50.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 36c | 44.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x57fb…1336backed VP.Prodigy | 66c | 42.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed VP.Prodigy | 63c | 40.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed VP.Prodigy | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed L1ga Team | 49c | 38.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…7c65backed VP.Prodigy | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed VP.Prodigy | 63c | 25.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…fdcabacked VP.Prodigy | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed VP.Prodigy | 67c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed L1ga Team | 62c | 22.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked VP.Prodigy | 66c | 19.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.