Tennis · resolved market
Austin: Simona Waltert vs McCartney Kessler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2d16bcd0235158ce004addb5b34595e64ef69646d7c4cd73bb814721d8ad1ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McCartney Kesslerof Simona Waltert, McCartney Kessler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,168 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Simona Waltert | 3c | 7,273$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…8f7bbacked Simona Waltert | 1c | 3,152$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Simona Waltert | 0c | 2,851$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Simona Waltert | 6c | 1,727$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Simona Waltert | 30c | 1,686$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.93 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Simona Waltert | 1c | 1,615$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Simona Waltert | 1c | 1,527$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Simona Waltert | 8c | 1,193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Simona Waltert | 31c | 1,050$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.87 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed McCartney Kessler | 73c | 1,006$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.6 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed McCartney Kessler | 77c | 988.84$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Simona Waltert | 24c | 839.42$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Simona Waltert | 27c | 727.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.34 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…49acbacked Simona Waltert | 2c | 651.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Simona Waltert | 35c | 559.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Simona Waltert | 27c | 554.28$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Simona Waltert | 27c | 431.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed McCartney Kessler | 74c | 401.35$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Simona Waltert | 29c | 388.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed McCartney Kessler | 65c | 387.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Simona Waltert | 27c | 353.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Simona Waltert | 28c | 351.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked McCartney Kessler | 71c | 278$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked McCartney Kessler | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked McCartney Kessler | 70c | 265$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked McCartney Kessler | 64c | 220$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked McCartney Kessler | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Simona Waltert | 32c | 163.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked McCartney Kessler | 71c | 156.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked McCartney Kessler | 69c | 129$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Simona Waltert | 26c | 103.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed McCartney Kessler | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked McCartney Kessler | 72c | 85.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked McCartney Kessler | 70c | 83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Simona Waltert | 37c | 80.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Simona Waltert | 36c | 77.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Simona Waltert | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked McCartney Kessler | 79c | 70.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked McCartney Kessler | 69c | 58.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Simona Waltert | 28c | 55.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked McCartney Kessler | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Simona Waltert | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed McCartney Kessler | 79c | 49.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked McCartney Kessler | 66c | 49.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed McCartney Kessler | 64c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed McCartney Kessler | 71c | 45.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed McCartney Kessler | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed McCartney Kessler | 73c | 44.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked McCartney Kessler | 74c | 40.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed McCartney Kessler | 68c | 40.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Simona Waltert | 28c | 39.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked McCartney Kessler | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed McCartney Kessler | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked McCartney Kessler | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed McCartney Kessler | 72c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed McCartney Kessler | 74c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed McCartney Kessler | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked McCartney Kessler | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin: Simona Waltert vs McCartney Kesslerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Waltert vs KesslerKessler won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.