TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Alabama State Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabama State Hornetsof Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils, Alabama State Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x781c…db68backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils8c2,310$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.61,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils12c2,243$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26815447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils8c2,056$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.453,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c1,957$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.311,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c1,182$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2937947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9925946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c976.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c716$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils8c590.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.278517.6%15 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils7c454$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7823948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils6c431.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.254035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils8c333.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.68347%39 W · 44 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c263.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c250$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c241.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.628641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils8c236.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils6c199.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1293941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71d6…a929backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils12c153.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.463847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils9c152.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.772,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x624e…a482backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c113.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6248051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alabama State Hornets80c17.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4835852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.