TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes25c50,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,499.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c33,956$25,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,725.51,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No76c18,062$13,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,334.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes24c12,414$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.339159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes25c10,012$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.0621144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c8,802$6,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.4731049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No75c8,208$6,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05215455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No76c7,360$5,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c4,959$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.7952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes23c4,017$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.674841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No75c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.254468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes49c2,204$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.4726040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c2,102$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c2,085$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.1448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c1,775$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6611916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No72c1,462$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5415048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes18c1,214$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.923534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes49c1,120$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.520232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c1,023$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.211,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2106…fa73backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ad…1b47backed Yes25c917.36$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes24c789.94$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3329949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c769.62$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes25c548$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1372548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22537638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes10c493.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes19c430.84$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.861931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes24c379$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes47c348.04$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2715649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No74c310$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.65745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes26c310$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.62528%7 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes51c303.78$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.534330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes25c299.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.954151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c291$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ec…f6e4backed Yes22c263.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c237$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2735650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes18c227.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed No57c210.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.612343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+73.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes25c190.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.563033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No61c181.91$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.334770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No75c179$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.753756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…6cd6backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No75c172.22$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.059256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No75c157.28$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3211753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No75c154.32$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.586648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes24c136$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6413844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes33c124$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.614062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c117.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes14c99.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No75c98.69$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.673568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd019…4ee0backed Yes45c87.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a7e…850abacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed80…0022backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No75c68.17$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2118155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes23c67.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2317251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No79c63.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.614372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.93743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…4fb8backed Yes24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.512147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No70c48.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.385322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb2b…6a21backed No77c45.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…20dfbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No69c39.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.332334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No56c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.677138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No56c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3211070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed No59c31.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.981942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x624e…a482backed Yes46c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No79c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.512759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3335037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63363.6%21 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed No76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed No61c26.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1726…1ad4backed Yes39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.139467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No76c24.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0510960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed No75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No76c21.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.376368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a6…5638backed No76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.743100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No76c15.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.919661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-41.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.