TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$365,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed No56c92,999$52,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,949.581741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes44c52,000$22,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,880633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c32,412$14,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,248.711,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No55c30,786$16,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,819.7521144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No54c26,283$14,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,151.159159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No54c18,890$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,689.275947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes44c16,364$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2002544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c13,716$6,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,343.4624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c12,263$5,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,633.1952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c12,050$5,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,372.1987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No56c10,892$6,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,792.31573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No55c7,500$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3751952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes45c7,300$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,26431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes46c5,455$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.1921143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…0a88backed Yes28c5,069$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.974057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes47c3,362$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.223857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No54c2,822$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.0429949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes45c1,978$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.373729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes46c1,878$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.843129%9 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No76c1,718$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.5924642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes44c1,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No57c1,579$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.959458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c1,438$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.911,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c1,345$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes46c1,306$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No72c1,182$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.8937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bff…8168backed Yes47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e43…c0e5backed No54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes29c1,100$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes46c1,020$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.211735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b8…3c6abacked No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e34…9634backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No55c991$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.952548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c956.52$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44023250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes46c920$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.344841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x458d…7fdfbacked Yes47c886.14$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No65c818.87$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe247…29f6backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+80.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c643.22$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes46c615.22$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2836119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes48c599.58$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.81612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-66.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes46c565.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes46c531.73$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No70c512.99$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1615048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c511.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9211916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes48c464.01$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.46446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes45c444$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.87648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No53c437.04$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.412441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes47c426.79$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No65c347.35$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.462360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No53c339.17$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+69.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes19c336.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.993826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes40c300.49$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4411044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13212957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes33c299.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes48c287.5$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1389846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes45c260.66$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6612647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Yes46c256.52$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes46c249$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5413246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes47c247.84$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed No54c237.79$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.383868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes34c234.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes44c218.59$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.187946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes46c217.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+64.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3071…f76cbacked Yes46c217.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Yes47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.051283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+58.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes42c210$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.624051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0207…1aa6backed No54c206.2$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea6b…b8abbacked Yes20c183.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.25236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes45c175.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.349256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes22c157.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.05520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+117.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x370c…3eb1backed Yes46c147$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No55c146.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.812572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.