Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d843053537fd839b9a0872ffb829012e4d14c47e199cf7cbde177b65a7c7f09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 15c | 2,513$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.79 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 2,277$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.15 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 43c | 1,105$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 15c | 1,029$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.05 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,015$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.17 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 35c | 940.94$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.36 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 22c | 882.49$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.17 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 39c | 799.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.73 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…5323backed Yes | 15c | 678.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.92 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 40c | 595.81$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed Yes | 74c | 586.09$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 55c | 528.75$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.86 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 477.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 9c | 475.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.66 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 466.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 34c | 428.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.56 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 79c | 420.74$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 50c | 378$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…121abacked Yes | 71c | 352.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 15c | 350.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 347 | 14.7%51 W · 296 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 326.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.63 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 18c | 307.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.45 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 7c | 296.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.39 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 18c | 291.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Yes | 44c | 278.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 34c | 265.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 38c | 249.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 228.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.96 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 71c | 220.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 215.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 50c | 215$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 200$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 15c | 195.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 12c | 194.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 42c | 175.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 23c | 172.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 17c | 163.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -32%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 17c | 159.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 41c | 157.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Yes | 37c | 155$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 13c | 148.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed Yes | 11c | 142.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…e7dcbacked No | 15c | 141.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac9…d570backed Yes | 22c | 138.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 13c | 127.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Yes | 80c | 126.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…0c6fbacked Yes | 70c | 120.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 21c | 117.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 13c | 113.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…0e93backed Yes | 19c | 104.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…f126backed Yes | 17c | 103.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…22f0backed No | 23c | 101.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a82…c2c1backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 182 | 24.2%44 W · 138 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…2d3abacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…18c6backed Yes | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 17c | 96.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…78c4backed Yes | 44c | 91.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed No | 17c | 91.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…842ebacked No | 62c | 90.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 33c | 90.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4c…60a7backed Yes | 26c | 90.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 38c | 89.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…4374backed Yes | 70c | 84.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 22c | 78.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…1432backed Yes | 37c | 74.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4664…8be1backed Yes | 20c | 74.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +111%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 75c | 70.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 29c | 64.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…935fbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…37babacked Yes | 39c | 55.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 42c | 52.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…a4d7backed No | 21c | 50.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…3c61backed Yes | 54c | 50.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 65c | 45.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…d805backed Yes | 36c | 45.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…6883backed Yes | 55c | 40.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 66c | 39.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 235 | 41.3%97 W · 138 L | -29.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…513fbacked Yes | 39c | 35.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 68c | 32.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed No | 61c | 29.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe213…efbbbacked Yes | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 71c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…778cbacked Yes | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.