Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d61e60a4d34cd4c1324a036f792b186727112e0cb5adbdd254e6cdf0dffe6a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 9,219$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 16c | 4,843$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.14 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 2,597$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.56 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 32c | 2,454$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.54 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,064$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 21c | 1,993$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 17c | 1,292$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 31c | 1,234$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.95 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7a…525fbacked No | 70c | 1,024$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 15c | 769.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 685.07$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 18c | 658.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 26c | 638.25$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 600.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…5323backed Yes | 26c | 542.75$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 12c | 474.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 123 | 8.9%11 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 30c | 418.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 21c | 414.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 16c | 390.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.76 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e3…5c79backed Yes | 23c | 385.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 17c | 378.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 24c | 348$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 3c | 345.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 48c | 332.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 21c | 325.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 33c | 312.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46f…7e60backed Yes | 7c | 307.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…60cbbacked No | 64c | 299.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…b343backed Yes | 36c | 279.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 57c | 275.51$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 39c | 270.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 38c | 251.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 18c | 249.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Yes | 32c | 248.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 51c | 240.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 15c | 219.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac9…d570backed Yes | 23c | 218.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 74c | 213.4$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 32c | 178.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked No | 62c | 178.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…22f0backed Yes | 59c | 168.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 24c | 168.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 64c | 166.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 28c | 161.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…b4e2backed Yes | 75c | 143.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 141.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe213…efbbbacked Yes | 36c | 140.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked No | 77c | 139.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…16c9backed Yes | 18c | 123$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked Yes | 20c | 122.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb35…714abacked No | 65c | 115$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2626…92e0backed Yes | 54c | 112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed No | 80c | 107.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…4264backed No | 38c | 107.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eae…e469backed Yes | 31c | 106.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a4…d224backed No | 70c | 105.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed No | 78c | 101.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…9d23backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…0cacbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 182 | 24.2%44 W · 138 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…f817backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 99.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…18c6backed Yes | 12c | 97.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed No | 77c | 96.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed No | 78c | 96.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 89 | 16.9%15 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 11c | 95.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 23c | 91.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…0991backed Yes | 33c | 89.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 42c | 89.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303c…acffbacked Yes | 33c | 87.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 63c | 85.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…7023backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed Yes | 33c | 76.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d48…ba3cbacked No | 78c | 73.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 21c | 71.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 29c | 69.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…66f4backed No | 62c | 68.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 58c | 66.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 25c | 64.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…6707backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked No | 80c | 63.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 24c | 63.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 57c | 61.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…fbbdbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 77c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fcebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…d805backed Yes | 50c | 55.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe039…d1a9backed Yes | 37c | 55.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.