Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a73136ec1929649ecf402d374aa746dab82559377eeca9530bbb6a504f308e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 4c | 10,133$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.01 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cb…84a1backed Yes | 21c | 4,793$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 2c | 3,179$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 2,866$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.46 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 76c | 2,360$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.85 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 10c | 2,064$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.1 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 37c | 1,858$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 9c | 1,692$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 1,684$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,498$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7a…525fbacked No | 65c | 1,396$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 31c | 1,384$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.1 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…147abacked Yes | 5c | 1,320$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 28c | 1,236$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.34 | 1,036 | 11.1%115 W · 921 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…573cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,147$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Yes | 7c | 935.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 19c | 930.1$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 37c | 816.15$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 6c | 793.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 7c | 738.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 5c | 727.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…5232backed Yes | 16c | 720.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 40c | 715.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 10c | 710.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -32%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 3c | 704.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031e…53d3backed Yes | 34c | 699.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…978fbacked No | 66c | 651.37$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 13c | 644.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 71c | 592.33$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…0c6fbacked Yes | 23c | 583$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2626…92e0backed Yes | 11c | 551.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 3c | 539.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 537.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac9…d570backed Yes | 33c | 523.43$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 22c | 504.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…8817backed Yes | 21c | 483.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 477.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 23c | 464.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…52b4backed Yes | 38c | 422.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes | 20c | 384.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…d8b1backed Yes | 38c | 382.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c3…b5e5backed Yes | 17c | 358.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 73c | 349.08$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 71c | 335.13$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 23c | 325.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 303.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 23c | 275$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…5323backed Yes | 37c | 267.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 18c | 259.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked No | 68c | 248.83$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 34c | 243.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…ddc8backed Yes | 41c | 241.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d34bbacked Yes | 6c | 229.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 21c | 219.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 6c | 213.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes | 24c | 210.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…3ecebacked Yes | 27c | 206.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b59…eb78backed No | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…f1aebacked Yes | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdef…5312backed Yes | 14c | 178.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 17c | 176$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 170$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 29c | 166.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 160.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…1a23backed Yes | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…ac84backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 24c | 155.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…e5c6backed Yes | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…b3f7backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99d…fb60backed Yes | 36c | 149.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 27c | 142.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…e64fbacked Yes | 7c | 142$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…e545backed Yes | 25c | 124.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…672ebacked Yes | 10c | 122.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…16c9backed Yes | 41c | 121.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 207 | 4.3%9 W · 198 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 39c | 118.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 35c | 113.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 32c | 110.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…78eabacked Yes | 36c | 107.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 21c | 106.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…40edbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…351fbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…4dafbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…ec9bbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a48…d8f8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 182 | 24.2%44 W · 138 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Yes | 27c | 93.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…fccebacked No | 69c | 92.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…74e3backed No | 68c | 88.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b2…c0aebacked Yes | 40c | 85.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…66f4backed No | 65c | 84.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.