TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x091f…672e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$10.33
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.21
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.97
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.61
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$37.49
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.84
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.09
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.96
Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64.21
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$47.24
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.49
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.44
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$68.88
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.39
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.91
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.8
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$61.76
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.18
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.75
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.62
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.12
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$53.35
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.39
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.64
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.68
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.94
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.63
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.23
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-77.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-66.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.37
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$25.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.12
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.