Champions League · resolved market
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-07-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7943aeace63eb7fbb57ef96f6063b136e0254d064700e70624026bb9f03c673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 3,813$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.48 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 3,775$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.37 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 3,016$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.36 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 58c | 2,541$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.33 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 1,445$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.54 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 56c | 1,376$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.32 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 26c | 750$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 701.79$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 17c | 634$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 10c | 621.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 16c | 573.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 537.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 79c | 512$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 42c | 485.01$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 38c | 475.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 417.81$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 416.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes | 49c | 410.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 43c | 406.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 28c | 365.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 318$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 80c | 287.52$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 41c | 247.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 225.55$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Yes | 44c | 207.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 78c | 199.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 42c | 198$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 185.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 12c | 184.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 9c | 174.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 42c | 173.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 31c | 166$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 42c | 164.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 15c | 149.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 11c | 119.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 112.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 78c | 108.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 105.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 43c | 93.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 41c | 88.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 87.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 79c | 87.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 67c | 84.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 14c | 82.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…106bbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 79c | 59.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 19c | 58.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 45.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 72c | 40.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…672ebacked Yes | 52c | 39.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…b80fbacked No | 38c | 31.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 41c | 29.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 43c | 23.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 71c | 23.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 78c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…e2e7backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 78c | 15.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 14.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 79c | 12.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-07-14?this page
- Will Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-07-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.