South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66aebb85e35946949ee8c242c4990d3e1b1d52aca7ca0a4c1e053fe03f3ac690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 29c | 7,500$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.59 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 7,181$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 5,055$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.97 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 4,783$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 27c | 4,286$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.46 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 74c | 3,801$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 66c | 2,024$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.07 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 26c | 2,005$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.85 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 20c | 1,210$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 12c | 1,048$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 61c | 879.51$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.51 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 66c | 762.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.06 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 68c | 740.58$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.63 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 42c | 633.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.73 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 613.84$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.43 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 63c | 529.21$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed No | 55c | 378.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 17c | 274.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 36c | 265.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 30c | 245.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 21c | 225.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 13c | 193.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 172.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 36c | 168.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 27c | 168$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 53c | 153.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…1fd2backed No | 23c | 151.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 70c | 140.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 125.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 62c | 119.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 62c | 114$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…672ebacked Yes | 39c | 112.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 39c | 111.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 26c | 103.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 26c | 97.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…60e4backed No | 14c | 96.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 63c | 92.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 82.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 26c | 79.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 73c | 72.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 64c | 63.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 69c | 61.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 18c | 59.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 58.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 27c | 56.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…5a5fbacked Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…f9ebbacked Yes | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 65c | 42.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 42.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 70c | 39.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…7a67backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 39c | 36.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 38c | 29.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 71c | 27.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-11?this page
- Will CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.