La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a2286a59a450ca24ef7992e7d7bf6476e25cfd80aa86c9824dab6df66a1f89d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Oviedoof Club Atlético de Madrid, Real Oviedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Oviedo | 77c | 3,547$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.21 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 16c | 2,627$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…facbbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 31c | 1,488$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Real Oviedo | 70c | 1,190$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 1,190$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Real Oviedo | 71c | 999.96$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 16c | 933.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 740$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Real Oviedo | 74c | 686.17$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Real Oviedo | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 599.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Oviedo | 71c | 492.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.24 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Real Oviedo | 70c | 491.98$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.59 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 416.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…f794backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 416.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Real Oviedo | 70c | 348.8$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Real Oviedo | 71c | 215.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 31c | 210.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Oviedo | 69c | 205.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…7ff1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 23c | 108.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Real Oviedo | 72c | 94.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 88.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 86.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 17c | 85.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Real Oviedo | 75c | 75.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…672ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde98…b6cebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…904dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 48.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Real Oviedo | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Real Oviedo | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Real Oviedo | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 443 | 24.2%107 W · 336 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Real Oviedo | 78c | 36.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Real Oviedo | 72c | 21.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Real Oviedo | 61c | 20.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Oviedo | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.