La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x429412aeeac2f03d7404666ee22ba2ed113c53f831135d54dfb45d8bba96a15e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 560$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Over | 27c | 417$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 73c | 341.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 18c | 153.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 76c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c71…22dbbacked Over | 24c | 103.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 98.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Over | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 76c | 45.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 73c | 33.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Under | 77c | 29.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 75c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 72c | 16.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.