TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd12c…f2d4backed Over49c61,729$30,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,027.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Over48c52,091$25,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,003.731668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Under52c49,000$25,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,519.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over48c25,243$12,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,116.632138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c22,702$11,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,897.0569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under53c19,000$10,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,929.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Under67c14,834$9,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,876.322166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c12,618$7,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,561.794,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c9,734$5,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,518.573,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c8,812$4,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,296.7150149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Over48c7,458$3,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c5,796$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.631,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.232548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c5,580$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,726.732,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over13c4,242$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.854942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c2,248$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.0435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over42c2,000$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.149052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over18c1,750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under52c1,400$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6863151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under51c1,157$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.9328055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Under53c898.68$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.774266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dcd…0c46backed Over48c888.19$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under51c856.19$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.533847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over48c750$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36318650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under54c688.88$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.886756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under52c624.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30032645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28212954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2942142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c599.98$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over48c416.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over22c404.5$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.994719.1%9 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Under53c375.76$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.611533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under52c360$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd655…b5c5backed Under54c348.25$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f35…7d76backed Over47c343.24$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14719750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14729053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14731751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.785940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over49c265.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c265$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.84647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under70c235$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.54971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over49c231.69$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5330842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb5…4ba6backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004060%24 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Over49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.964153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Under54c201.85$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.851729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ce…83acbacked Under52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577363%46 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under63c177.04$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.158155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3247…eb6ebacked Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Under54c156.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.043850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.254946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c124.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.11,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.821051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.820652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.819652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.819951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.820949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.819053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.815747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under54c119.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.29558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc6c…2bf7backed Over28c115.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.231747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over47c111.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5332444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Over49c107.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.771822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over49c101.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8212044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over19c101.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.683225%8 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4919153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4162744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b2…f6c3backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472924.1%7 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over37c97.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.