TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb52b…b156backed No65c13,838$9,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,823.732045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes50c4,849$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.7213134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes48c4,007$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.684669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c3,062$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.888,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes43c1,721$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.991,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c1,706$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.213,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes33c1,388$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.033928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c1,264$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.145,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a3c…fc9dbacked Yes2c1,179$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Yes48c1,007$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.142650%13 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Yes50c863.3$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.651936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes40c790.01$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.581,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes44c743.45$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.391,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No52c550$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2644637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes35c549.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No49c476.54$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0315128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No53c473.27$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.441656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes16c459.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0310155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes37c450.28$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.612541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No53c423.78$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.813943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c417.97$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.932,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-50.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c371.15$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.271,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes38c348.14$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.349361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No50c341.86$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.931,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb79…91b5backed Yes9c339.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.582050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes21c332.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes35c318.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.466451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c306.36$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.821,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No65c304.51$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.731,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes36c286.16$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7916255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes35c274.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5910456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c222.82$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.91,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes48c211.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.44153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c184.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.141,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No50c183$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.521349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No64c164.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.024374.4%32 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes77c155.79$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c152.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.792,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7231226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes33c144.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.565832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091f…672ebacked Yes47c143.01$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.751050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No75c134.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.741,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No50c128.35$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1830754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No51c119.82$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.715962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfc…e510backed Yes37c112.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked No50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aad…f530backed Yes50c108.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes48c106.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.354055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No65c98.06$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.967660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.58149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes13c92.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.672133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed No53c90.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e01…271fbacked Yes37c80.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.831520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-63.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No79c76.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.664468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No79c65.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4813451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes49c62.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5320142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No52c61.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6710157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Yes37c61.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.436274.2%46 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b03…13eebacked Yes48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.064643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adb…1cb9backed Yes48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed Yes42c59.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.114452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba8…4ccabacked Yes49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes32c58.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.877839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No63c55.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.478964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes37c54.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.351872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes49c49.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.492737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes44c44.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.713444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No51c43.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.417950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No70c42.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6429362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes47c40.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.373844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes48c40.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.495935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8277…3409backed Yes48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82af…f919backed Yes48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.383253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee25…6e2fbacked Yes48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No66c40.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.696369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3162…da1abacked Yes49c39.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.450%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Yes37c39.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.434566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbce8…a503backed Yes50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc735…b72abacked Yes33c37.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.513240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e85…e185backed Yes48c36.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.34742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No51c35.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.329053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No52c34.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.69361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes76c33.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.472,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.493658.3%21 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked Yes42c31.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No51c30.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.098439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43fc…9728backed Yes49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed No58c29.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.397061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes38c28.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.986036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Yes35c28.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4b5…56abbacked Yes35c28.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No58c28.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes76c28.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.578560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked No62c27.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.75172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.