South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7536d1431c116511b71ea557cf1690730905ce2185db6c1941e76f10ab86ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 31c | 7,757$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.08 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 7,353$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 6,482$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,477.74 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 30c | 4,989$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.44 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 3,667$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.82 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 3,619$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.61 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 57c | 3,441$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.96 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 2,295$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 23c | 1,390$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.59 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 70c | 1,063$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.3 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…5954backed Yes | 14c | 1,059$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 66c | 849.79$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.14 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 13c | 744.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 32c | 702.74$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.75 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.92 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 72c | 463.04$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 20c | 449.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 422.74$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 23c | 417.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 378.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 66c | 339.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.47 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 321.74$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 40c | 314.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 70c | 304.01$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 31c | 269.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 28c | 245.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 23c | 237.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 234.71$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.73 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.66 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 25c | 198.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 77c | 198$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e44…9b22backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Yes | 22c | 127.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 79c | 114.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 70c | 106.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 90.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Yes | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 82.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 28c | 82.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 33c | 76.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 74.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 16c | 65.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed No | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…2d06backed Yes | 73c | 54.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 56c | 53.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked No | 70c | 52.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed No | 74c | 52.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 21c | 49.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 30c | 44.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 38c | 40.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 39c | 34.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Yes | 80c | 29.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 79c | 24.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…8c46backed Yes | 80c | 24.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 78c | 19.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 78c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?No won
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.