South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9b3ddaeb9ef92a1ea7b91052e2dbc6e2cd1f3816cf4641766be14a2a7d8b5d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 39c | 2,957$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.03 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 2,307$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.33 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0980…bdaabacked Yes | 29c | 1,974$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…5954backed Yes | 16c | 1,631$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,605$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,063$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 57c | 854.73$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 15c | 630.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 54c | 554.27$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 58c | 550.28$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.08 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 431.87$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 410.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 345.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 274.16$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 256.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 57c | 250.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 20c | 222.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 172.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 166.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 43c | 161.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Yes | 20c | 145.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Yes | 20c | 145.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 136.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa832…1346backed Yes | 62c | 120.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…7878backed Yes | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 50c | 88.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 83.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 42c | 77.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…fe66backed Yes | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 65.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 64.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 46c | 62.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 61.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…6cd9backed No | 45c | 60.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 80c | 40.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked No | 50c | 38.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…3dc8backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…6a05backed Yes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 32.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 30.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 76c | 29.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 38c | 29.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 72c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 27.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 55c | 27.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Yes | 56c | 26.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked No | 61c | 22.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 63c | 22.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 61c | 21.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 20.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 61c | 20.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 55c | 20.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 63c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 63c | 18.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.