TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c22,512$10,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,706.0520053%106 W · 94 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes54c18,432$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c10,184$4,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,477.751,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c6,733$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,656.382,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c6,324$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.475,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Yes55c5,381$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes53c4,751$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5181526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6084…84ecbacked Yes53c4,287$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,27210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes77c3,909$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.618,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No24c3,577$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.1328651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes55c2,353$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.263925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.662462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa65…1021backed Yes51c2,030$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.3850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes55c1,914$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes52c1,733$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.3651749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No47c1,693$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.588351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes53c1,253$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6649562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No42c1,218$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.61,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No21c1,131$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.572330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5506643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c955.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.381,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes52c788.46$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41010750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c780.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.392,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No49c753.77$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4214945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No41c746.64$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7415128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Yes55c731.59$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37118543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes53c692.75$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No46c662.63$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.4545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No47c643.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1127349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No45c551.31$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.233745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes66c535.79$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.91,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes55c522.85$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2863928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes52c485.01$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.181,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No48c475.9$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.472343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Yes51c475.46$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed No48c425$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked Yes53c424.83$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes53c415.09$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No46c397.28$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6123056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No46c380$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No45c325$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7528851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1427549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No45c308.38$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6915857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes17c297.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No48c291.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6710652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5fa…da37backed Yes77c258.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No46c257$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.052,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.518358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No46c250$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2521657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes51c241.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No47c235.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.981,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No46c228.82$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.624956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Yes53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes51c222.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3326745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No49c205.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.14047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes50c204.6$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.34738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes52c200.05$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8978856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11016559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x044e…28d3backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes53c186.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1410…1ba2backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091f…672ebacked Yes55c178.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.911050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No49c164.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.820138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No49c150.87$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9415560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Yes54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No24c145.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No46c142.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2113545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes51c136.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.87656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc12…c741backed Yes79c126$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.542568%17 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.42853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Yes25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes80c109.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.847055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5525625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+111.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040442.1%170 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5522058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No46c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.513465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdf4…e7c2backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed No51c96.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.082857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc78…c479backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6672…9ea3backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.