South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0832f34dff26a04729411014f7464df36d274d2a8bd80347f0575ee380c84129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 26,866$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 43c | 13,525$5,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,708.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 11,941$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,633.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 10c | 10,626$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.32 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 7,873$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.71 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 6,047$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.9 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 5,945$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 79c | 5,135$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.97 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 68c | 4,805$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 34c | 3,849$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.24 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 43c | 2,231$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.72 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 67c | 1,663$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.93 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 1,440$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.02 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 1,432$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.14 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 43c | 1,037$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 57c | 933.28$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.97 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 58c | 870.14$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.02 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 12c | 811.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 44c | 768.73$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.49 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 699.98$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.66 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 664.7$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.81 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 35c | 642.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.87 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 56c | 531.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.91 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…6cd9backed No | 7c | 458.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 444.75$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 44c | 425.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…11afbacked No | 57c | 300.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 42c | 298.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 43c | 295.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 10c | 273.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 266.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 77c | 256.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 57c | 236.69$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Yes | 44c | 220.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 197.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 45c | 189.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 49c | 188.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 57c | 185$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed Yes | 43c | 180.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 69c | 152.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6c…8ce4backed Yes | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 57c | 143$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 143$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked No | 58c | 142.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked No | 18c | 127.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 69c | 121.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 66c | 117.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 69c | 113.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked No | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 50c | 106.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 48c | 105.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 20c | 105.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed No | 57c | 99.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…679dbacked Yes | 47c | 99.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 64c | 95.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 34c | 95.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 56c | 90.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Yes | 64c | 88.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed No | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 57c | 83.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…393ebacked Yes | 44c | 77.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…63edbacked Yes | 44c | 75.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 22c | 74.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 67c | 74.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked No | 57c | 68.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 66c | 67.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…f0d9backed Yes | 44c | 66.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 42c | 65.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 20c | 62.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed No | 58c | 61.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…672ebacked Yes | 65c | 58.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 24c | 55.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 76c | 54.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 57c | 52.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 42c | 50.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…8845backed Yes | 43c | 45.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…077cbacked Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed No | 44c | 43.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…fe66backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 35c | 42.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 57c | 41.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.